地方政府政治周期与高等教育财政投入支持强度指数——基于2001-2015年3个“五年计划”的省际面板数据

Local Government Political Cycle and Higher Education Financial Input Support Strength Index——Based on the three “five-year plan” inter-provincial panel data from 2001 to 2015

以"十五""十一五""十二五"3个"五年计划"期间全国31个省份地方普通高等教育经费财政投入面板数据为样本,在对有关指标进行数据清洗、标准化的基础上,采用层次分析法(AHP)及Panel Data回归模型对全国31个省份地方政府高等教育财政投入支持强度指数进行了层级划分、整合及检验,并提出了建立生均教育经费与生均公用经费及其拨款基本标准动态调整机制、建立教育欠债问责机制、建立规范的中央财政转移支付制度弥补高等教育的外溢性、制定科学合理的强度指数提升策略等政策建议。

In this paper, with 10 th, 11 th, 12 th three ＂five-year plan＂ during the 31 provinces in the local general higher education funding financial input panel data as a sample, based on analysis of data cleaning,standardization, using analytic hierarchy process（AHP） and panel data regression model, this paper divides the financial input support strength index of higher education in 31 regions of the whole country, and then analyzes the financial strength of the higher education, Integration and testing. It proposed the establishment of higher educational expenditure per student public funding and by fee and the basic standard dynamic adjustment mechanism, the establishment of education debt accountability mechanism, the establishment of a standardized central financial transfer payment system to make up for the spillover of higher education,formulate scientific and reasonable strategies to improve policies such as intensity index.