我国城市灾害韧性评估及其提升策略研究

China's Urban Disaster Resilience Evaluation And Promotion

构建韧性评价体系是韧性量化的基础,韧性的量化对韧性理论的实践运用有着重要的意义。文章以韧性基线模型(BRIC)为研究基础,结合专家咨询方法,从经济韧性、社会韧性、环境韧性、社区韧性、基础设施韧性及组织韧性6个方面构建我国的城市灾害韧性评价指标体系,并对全国288个地级市的灾害韧性进行评估,结果表明:国内城市总体处于较低韧性的状态,不同城市的韧性指数差异较大;城市韧性呈现出明显的空间分异现象;影响城市灾害韧性的因素主要包含经济发展水平、基础设施建设、组织管理与社会保障等方面。最后在研究结论的基础上提出城市灾害韧性的提升策略。

The construction of resilience evaluation system is the foundation of resilience calculation. The resilience calculation is of great significance to the practice of the theory of resilience. Based on the Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities（BRIC） and the judgment of the expert, the author builds the index system from six aspects： socia, economic, infrastructural, institutional, community and environmental, and takes 288 cities as examples. The result shows that China＇s urban resilience still stay in a low level and there is remarkable difference among different cities. The factors that affect urban disasters resilience include economic development level, infrastructure construction, organization management, and social security. At last, the paper puts forward the promotion strategy based on the research conclusions.