“一带一路”沿线国家经济差异与极化分析

Economic difference and polarization analysis of the countries in “One Belt One Road”

运用区域经济差异与极化的数理模型,基于2005~2013年"一带一路"沿线65个国家的相关经济数据,探索其经济差异与极化的空间演变轨迹.结果表明,沿线65个国家:1)经济差异逐步缩小,且有继续缩小趋势;2)经济极化现象有所凸显,且有继续增强趋势;3)经济增长呈现收敛的国家数远多于发散的,其中,中俄长期呈现向上发散趋势,东南亚及中亚国家多呈现向上收敛趋势,南亚国家多呈现向下发散趋势,西亚北非及中东欧国家多呈现向下收敛的态势.

By the relevant economic data of 2005~2013 from 65 countries along ＂ One Belt One Road＂（OBOR）,based on the mathematical model of regional economic difference and polarization,the national economic development and spatial evolution of polarization trajectory were explored.The results showed,the 65 countries：1）economic differences between countries were gradually narrow down,and the trend had continued to shrink;2）the phenomenon of economic polarization had highlighted,and there was an increasing trend to continue;3）the number of countries with the economic growth convergence was much more than that with divergence,among them,the China and Russia long-term upward divergence;most southeast Asian and central Asian countries upward convergence;most south Asian countries downward divergence;most west Asia,north Africa,central and eastern Europe countries downward convergence.