成渝经济区各经济体的经济合作关系研究

On the Cooperative Relationship of Economic Entities in Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone

本文以1997-2013年的历史数据,运用引力模型、johansen协整检验和Granger因果关系检验法对成渝经济区各个经济体的经济合作关系进行了实证分析。研究发现成渝经济区内各个经济体之间主要有改进型、非对称型和互赢型三种经济合作关系。重庆市较好的带动了周边地区的经济发展,却没有使自己成为受惠方;而成都对成渝经济区内其他经济体的辐射带动作用并没有充分发挥出来。因此,应通过成渝经济区内各经济体之间的协调发展、经济贸易策略和产业政策体系的调整、中心城市的辐射带动作用等实现经济体之间的"互惠"、"互赢"局面。

This paper analyzes the cooperative relationship of those economic entities in Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone by using the gravity model,the Johansen co-integration test and Granger causality test according to the historical data from 1997 to 2013. The study finds that there are three kinds of economic cooperative relationship among various economies,namely,improved economic cooperation,asymmetric economic cooperation and win-win economic cooperation. Chongqing promotes the economic growth of its surrounding areas but failed to make himself as a beneficiary. Chengdu＇s radiating and driving role for Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone did not fully play out. Therefore,it is important to realize ＂reciprocity＂,＂win-win＂situation for various economies through the coordinated development among each economy,the adjustment of economic-trade policy and industrial policy system,and the radiation leading role of the central city.