2017年江西省棉花产销形势分析及展望

Analysis and Prospect of Cotton Production and Marketing in Jiangxi Province in 2017

2017年1—7月江西省遭遇持续强降雨和高温干旱天气,对棉花长势影响较大,棉花严重受损,预计2017年江西省棉花单产将有所下滑。相比其他传统农作物江西省的植棉纯收益较低,棉农植棉积极性严重受挫,不断调减植棉面积,预计2017年江西省棉花种植面积将同比减少31.81%,棉花总产量将同比减少34%左右。2017年后期,在棉花供给充足的情况下,江西省棉花价格将保持平稳波动,棉花加工及销售企业开工率将有所回升,但优胜劣汰格局明显。

From January to July in 2017, Jiangxi suffered heavy rainfall first, and then experienced high temperature and drought, which greatly affected the growth of cotton, and cotton was seriously damaged. It is expected that the cotton yield per unit area in Jiangxi province will decline in 2017. Compared with other traditional crops in Jiangxi province, the net income of planting cotton was relatively low, the enthusiasm of cotton grower planting cotton suffered a serious setback, so cotton grower constantly reduced cotton area. It is expected that in 2017, Jiangxi province cotton planting area will decrease by31.81 percent and cotton yield will be down by about 34 percent. In late 2017, in the case of adequate cotton supply, the fluctuations of cotton price in Jiangxi will remain stable, the operating rates of cotton processing and marketing enterprises will pick up, but the pattern of survival of the fittest will be obvious.