新型城镇化与城市郊区化交互效应——基于灰色经济计量组合模型的实证分析

Interaction between New Urbanization and Suburbanization——Empirical Analysis Based on Grey Econometric Model

以我国新型城镇化和城市郊区化之间的交互效应为研究主线,探索新型城镇化和城市郊区化在人口迁移、产业结构调整、交通运输条件等主要内容和动力方面的关系。新型城镇化与城市郊区化在发展目标上有着诸多的内在联系,其中人口迁移、产业结构调整、交通运输是新型城镇化和城市郊区化实现交互效应的主要渠道,但现阶段我国新型城镇化和城市郊区化的交互效应还不是非常密切,应该以新型城镇化的发展理念和思想指导城市郊区化高效发展。

Based on the new type of interaction effect between urbanization and urban suburbanization in China, this paper explores the relationship between new urbanization and urban suburbanization in popula-tion migration, industrial structure adjustment, and transportation conditions. There are many internal relations in the development goals between new urbanization and urban suburbanization. Population migra-tion, industrial structure adjustment, and the transportation are the main channels for the interaction effect between new urbanization and urban suburbanization; however, the interaction effect between new urbanization and urban suburbanization in China is currently not very close, so new urbanization develop-ment philosophy should be adopted to guide urban suburbanization and efficient development.