快速发展地区经济-资源-环境系统协调发展研究——以湖北省鄂州市为例

Research on Coordinative Development of Economy Research Environment System in Rapidly Development Regions:A Case Study of Ezhou in Hubei

鄂州市作为湖北省第一个城乡一体化试点城市,正在积极、快速推进城镇化发展,全力打造新型城镇化城市。通过建立城市经济-资源-环境(ERE)系统评价指标体系,利用主成分分析法、回归分析法、隶属度函数构建ERE系统协调发展评价模型,测算了鄂州市2000-2013年ERE系统的综合发展水平及协调发展度。结果表明,(1)鄂州市经济发展迅速,资源、环境发展相对滞后。(2)经济-资源-环境系统协调发展度2000-2013年平均处于中级协调水平且有下降的趋势,经济-资源子系统矛盾是阻碍ERE系统协调发展度上升的主要原因。(3)资源消耗、环境保护问题成为制约鄂州城市发展的关键,应根据鄂州市实际情况制定协调发展政策和措施。

As the first pilot city of urban-rural integration in Hubei, Ezhou forward the development of urbanization in a positive rapid manner, and to build new-type urbanization city with all its strength. Establishing an evaluation index system for the coordinate developmental degree of ERE system, which reflects the goal of ecological civilization constructing. By means of the PCA method,regression analysis method and membership function,a coordinating development evaluating model of ERE system was established. The comprehensive developmental level of ERE system in Ezhou was calculated from 2000 to 2013. The results showed that firstlyeconomic development was rapid in Ezhou, while environment and resources development were lagging behind. Secondly, the comprehensive developmental level of ERE system was in the intermediate coordination average level during 2000 to 2013, showed a trend of decline in recent years. The main reason is economy and resource system coordinative developmental degree declines. Thirdly, the problem of resources consumption and environment protection became the key to restricting the development of Ezhou, therefore the coordinated development measures and policies should be built according to the real situation of Ezhou.