基于灰色关联分析的北京市GDP预测及其影响因素分析

Forecast of Beijing GDP and Analyzing its Influencing Factors Based on Gray Relational analysis

本文利用北京市2000-2015年共十六年的数据,以北京市GDP为衡量经济增长指标变量,以常住外来人口、建筑施工企业生产总产值、居民消费水平、社会消费品零售总额以及能源消费总量五个指标作为影响因素用于定量研究,运用Matlab软件进行预测和模拟分析五个因素对北京市GDP的影响程度。

Based on the data of Beijing in the period from 2000 to 2015, the paper uses the annual GDP of Bei-jing as a measure of the economic growth index variable,and the five indexes, such as resident foreign population, gross output value of construction enterprises, resident consumption level, total retail sales of so-cial consumer goods and total energy consumption, are used as quantitative analysis. Meanwhile, the use of Matlab software to predict and simulate the five factors on the impact of GDP in Beijing.