产业安全视角下的反倾销与产业升级协同演化

The Co-evolution of Anti-dumping and Industrial Upgrading from the Perspective of Industrial Security

从产业安全的视角建立了反倾销与产业升级的协同演化框架,分析了中国遭受反倾销与中国产业升级的协同演化机制,构建了相应的协同演化模型,并使用中国1995—2014年的相关数据对中国遭受反倾销与中国产业升级的协同演化情况进行了实证分析。研究表明:反倾销与产业升级形成了协同演化态势,协同演化逐步加强,且更多地体现出反倾销子系统对其的影响;反倾销对产业升级的促进与产业升级对反倾销的激发在协同演化过程中起主导作用;协同演化对中国产业安全的最终影响结果取决于反倾销、产业升级两种相反影响力量的累积影响。最后,基于产业安全的视角,从认识观念、纵向策略以及横向策略等多个方面提出了若干启示。

From the industrial security perspective,a co-evolution framework of anti-dumping and industrial upgrading is established with analysis of a co-evolution mechanism of Chinese anti-dumping and industrial upgrading, and then the corresponding co-evolution model is constructed. After that,the co-evolution of China＇s anti-dumping suffered and its industrial upgrading is empirically analyzed based on China related data during 1995-2014. The research demonstrates that anti-dumping and industrial upgrading form a co-evolution trend which is gradually strengthened and is more influenced by the anti-dumping subsystem,and that anti-dumping promoting industrial upgrading and industrial upgrading inspiring the anti-dumping play a leading role in the co- evolution process,and that co-evolution＇s ultimate influence on China＇s industrial security is depended on the cumulative impact of two adverse forces of anti-dumping and industrial upgrading. Finally,from the Perspective of Industrial Security,some enlightenments are put forward from the aspects of cognition, vertical strategy and horizontal strategy, and so on.