2017年下半年铜版纸市场展望及应对策略

Outlook and solutions of art paper market in the second half of 2017

随着出版季节在9～10月启动，综合来看下半年铜版纸的需求还是会跟去年同期保持一致。同时也应看到目前纸张价格还是处在一个相对较高的位置，各方面成本的压力都已经完全释放。行业最大的风险来源应该是供应链上的需求剧烈波动,如果在9月市场旺季到来前,渠道上没有合理的库存,会造成纸张需求的非理性放大，也会造成纸张价格的剧烈上扬。

With the forthcoming of publishing season from September to October, the demand of art paper in the second half of 2017 is supposed to be consistent with the same period of last year. Paper price stays in a relatively high position, with all its cost pressure having been released already. The biggest uncertainty comes from the fluctuation of supply side, among which lacking of inventory may lead to the irrational expansion of paper demand and rapidly increase of paper prices in the market.