亚太地区秩序重塑与中美分歧“柔性”管控

The Reshaping of the Order in Asia-Pacific Region and the “Soft” Management and Control of Differences between China and the US

在全球地缘重心东移的前提下,未来亚太地区新秩序的建立并保持相对稳定,或取决于包括中美在内的多重力量间的软权力均衡。与"硬权力均衡"多体现为"势均力敌"相比,"软权力均衡"主要体现为地区力量之间对彼此的认同、包容,及至实现和谐共处的一种状态。特朗普政府的亚太政策走向具有较强的不确定性,但实现美国在该地区的政治、经济、文化、安全等各领域利益最大化的目标,不会发生根本改变。中美只有正确看待彼此在亚太的结构性矛盾,理性认知彼此的软权力现状,"柔性"管控分歧,提升战略互信以促合作,亚太新秩序的建立方能实现。

With the eastward shift of the global geostrategic focus,the establishment of a new order in the Asia-Pacific region and the maintenance of relative regional stability in the future may depend on the soft power equilibrium among multiple powers including China and the US.Compared with the'hard power equilibrium'which manifests itself as'a Roland for an Oliver',the'soft power equilibrium'is mainly seen as a status in which the regional powers identify with and tolerate each other so as to remain in harmonious co-existence.Although there are strong uncertainties with regard to the development trend of the US Asia-Pacific policy of the Trump Administration,to maximize the US interests in such aspects as politics,economy,culture and security in the region will not change fundamentally.The establishment of a new order in the Asia-Pacific region can only be realized when China and the US correctly treat their structural contradictions in the region,rationally acknowledge the status of each other’s soft powers in the region,'softly'manage their differences,and engage in cooperation by enhancing strategic mutual trust.