特朗普主义与反全球化迷思

Trumpism and the Maze of Anti-globalization

特朗普主义是美国收入差距拉大、产业空心化、移民与恐怖主义威胁和反建制力量崛起的产物,它在实施中具有右翼民粹、强人政治、孤立主义和保护主义,以及大政府影子等特点。在美国三权分立的政治架构下,特朗普主义在基础设施建设、减税、贸易保护主义和移民政策等问题上都会面临较大的挑战,实施前景与效果存在较大的不确定性。长远来看,特朗普主义的实施并不会撼动全球化的长期趋势。中国应以特朗普现象为鉴,注重国内经济发展的地区、产业和阶层平衡,在全球治理层面积极推动开放型世界经济体系,通过关注发展问题缓解全球化的不平等程度。

Trumpism is a natural outcome of the income inequality,industrial hollowing,immigration and terrorism,and the rise of the anti-establishment forces.It is characterized by the right-wing populism,strongman politics,isolationism,protectionism,and big government.Due to the tripartite political system of the U.S.,Trumpism is going to face great challenges and uncertainties in the fields of infra-structure construction,tax-cutting,trade protectionism,and immigration policy.In the long run,the implementation of Trumpism will not turn the process of globalization.However,China should draw the lessons from the Trump phenomenon,and pay attention to the balancing economic development among different industries,regions,and social classes.China should also promote an open world economy which is based on global governance,and ease the inequality of global income through addressing problems that arise in economic development.