财政分权与中国产业结构调整关系——基于省级面板数据实证分析

Study on the Relationship between Fiscal Decentralization System and Industrial Structure Adjustment in China

基于中国2001—2014年31个省份的面板数据,采用系统矩估计实证分析方法,通过支出角度和自有收入角度来构建财政分权指标体系,探讨财政分权对我国产业结构调整的作用效果。研究结论表明:从全国层面来看,财政分权对产业结构的调整具有显著的促进作用;从地区层面来看,东部地区的财政分权对产业结构的调整具有显著的促进作用,并与全国作用效果保持高度一致。中西部地区作用效果则不然,该地区的财政分权对产业结构合理化水平提高具有显著的促进作用,而对产业结构高级化水平提高具有显著的抑制作用。最后,依据实证结论提出政策启示。

This article makes use of the SYS-GMM to study the relationship between fiscal decentralization and industrial structure adjustment based on 31 provinces＇ （municipalities and autonomous regions） panel data from 2001 to 2014 in our country. The fiscal decentralization index system is constructed from the perspective of expenditure and income. And the conclusion is that： From the national perspective, fiscal decentralization has a significant effect on promoting adjustment of industrial structure; from regional perspective, the fiscal decentralization of the eastern region has a significant effect on promoting the adjustment of industrial structure, and is consistent with the national effect. But in the mid-west area, the fiscal decentralization has a significant effect on promoting the rationalization of industrial structure while it has a significant inhibitory effect on the improvement of industrial structure supererogation. Finally, according to the empirical conclusion, this article proposes some policy implications.