20世纪前期中国抵制日货运动经济效力的实像——以日本对华贸易为例

Read Image of Economic Effectiveness of China's Boycotting Movement against Japanese Goods in Early 20th Century——Case Study of Japan's Trade with China

抵制日货运动是萦绕于20世纪前期中日两国间长达三十余年的重要现象,但相应的研究尚存很大空缺,尤其是针对其经济效力的研究更为数寥寥。在中日两国学界针对抵制日货运动经济效力的研究中常见"一高一低"现象,即"高度评价"与"贬低评价"。"一高一低"两种声音均是基于短期或单次运动之经济效果而做出的评价,未能反映前后延续长达三十余年的抵制日货运动经济效力的整体面貌。以20世纪初至30年代中期日本对华贸易的整体进程为参照,旨在以日本对华贸易特别是对华输出为例探讨抵制日货运动经济效力的实像。研究表明,抵制日货运动的经济效力在短期与长期上呈现"一大一小"的现象,以及在不同商品上存在"或有或无"的特点。

Boycotting movement against Japanese goods is an important phenomenon hanging between Chi- na and Japan for more than 30 years in modern age, but there is a great research gap for this phenomenon, and scarce studies have been conducted to survey its economic effectiveness. The current research, both in China and Japan, often thinks there exist over-estimation and under-estimation concerning the economic ef- fectiveness of the boycotting movement against Japanese goods. However, the estimations, whether it is over or under, are usually made on the basis of short-term effects or the impact of a single boycotting movement, which could not cast a panoramic picture of the effectiveness of boycotting that lasts for more than 30 years at that time. This study intends to exhibit the boycotting＇s economic effectiveness by analy- zing Japan＇s trade with China, its exports to China, and referencing the trade＇s overall process between the early 1920s and the middle 1930s. The study shows there is ＂a great and a small＂ effectiveness concern- ing the impact of the boycotting on short-term and long-term economic effectiveness respectively, whereas it is ＂all-or-nothing＂ regarding the different goods.