甘肃省人口老龄化对居民消费水平影响的研究

Research on the Impact of Aging Population in Gansu Province on the Residents' Consumption Level

随着甘肃省老年群体的不断壮大,老龄化已经成为影响甘肃省消费水平的重要因素。在研究甘肃省人口老龄化的现状及特点的基础上,分析甘肃省居民消费水平的变动情况。并运用2004—2015年有关老年人口比重、居民消费水平以及其他经济指标的时间序列数据进行实证分析,筛选出影响甘肃省居民消费水平的三个最显著指标,并建立多元线性回归模型。结果表明:甘肃省居民消费水平与人均GDP和人均可支配收入呈正相关,与老年人口比重呈负相关。

With the growing elderly population in Gansu province, the aging population has become the important infactor influencing the level of consumption in Gansu province. Based on the analysis of present situation and characteristics of the aging population in Gansu province, the variation of the residents＇ consumption level was analyzed.Then time series data from 2004-2015 about the proportion of elderly population, the residents＇ consumption level and other economic indicators was used to carry out the empirical analysis, and three indicators which have significant impact on the residents＇ consumption level in Gansu province were screened out. The results show that the residents＇ consumption level in Gansu province is positively correlated to per capita GDP and per capita disposable income, and negatively correlated to the proportion of elderly population.