工业化视角下典型国家铁路运输实证研究及启示

Empirical Study & Thoughts on Railway Transportation in Typical Countries from Perspective of Industrialization

根据工业化阶段判定标准,分析美国、法国、德国、日本、俄罗斯、印度等典型国家和我国目前所处的工业化进程。研究各典型国家在不同工业阶段的铁路客货运输发展趋势,得出铁路客货运输与工业化、经济发展间具有较为紧密相关性的结论。其中,铁路客运随着经济水平的提高而保持增长,未因工业化阶段的更迭而出现趋势反转;铁路货运发展趋势在后工业化阶段出现分化。结合我国所处的工业化阶段,得出促进我国铁路客货运输健康、平稳发展的启示。

According to the criteria of separating different stages of industrialization, this paper analyzes the industrialization in typical countries such as the United States, France, Germany, Japan, Russia, India and China, explores the development trend of railway passenger and freight transportation in the countries at various industrial stages, and draws the conclusion that railway passenger and freight transportation have close correlation with industrialization and economic development. To be specific, railway passenger transportation grows with economic development, and is not subject to trend reversal as a result of alteration in industrialization stages; railway freight transportation trend, on the Based on China＇s current industrialization stage, this stable development of China＇s railway passenger and other hand, diversified in the post-industrialization stage. paper puts forward suggestions on promoting the sound and freight transportation.