基于气象相似条件的台风路径预测

Prediction of Typhoon Path Based on Weather Similarity Condition

以我国中央气象台所设计的相似法标准为前提,提出了一种计算台风相似度的理论方法,并利用该方法对台风路径进行了预测。通过实验对预测结果进行了验证,结果表明,该方法可以取得较好的结果。

This paper puts forward a theoretical method for calculating the similarity of typhoon based on a similar law standards which is designed by the Central Meteorological Observatory.And it uses this method to predict the path of typhoon.Experimental results show that good results can be obtained with this method.