我国服务业产能利用率及其影响因素研究——基于DEA和FGLS的实证分析

Capacity Utilization And Affecting Factors Of Service Industry In China's Regional——An Empirical Study Based On DEA And FGLS

在供给侧结构性改革的背景下,服务业的产能利用率值得关注。文章利用数据包络分析(DEA)测算2004-2014年除西藏外30个省份的服务业产能利用率,并运用可行广义最小二乘法探讨了影响服务业产能利用率的因素。结果显示,2004-2014年全国、东、中、西部地区的服务业平均产能利用率分别为0.661、0.734、0.689、0.567,并且都呈现下降趋势。在主要影响因素中,生产性服务业发展与工业化进程的互动有利于服务业产能利用率提升;政府影响力对产能利用率的提升是弊大于利。

In the context of the supply-side structural reform, capacity utilization of ser- vice industry is worth paying attention to. This paper uses Data Envelopment Analysis to measure the service industry capacity utilization in China＇s 30 provinces except Tibet over the period 2004 -2014, and using Feasible Generalized Least Squares Method to investigate the influence factors of service industry capacity utilization. Result of the estimate indicated that the av- erage capacity utilization of Service Industry in National, Eastern, middle and western regions during 2004 to 2014 is 0.661, 0.734, 0.689, 0.567, and all showed a downward trend. The capacity utilization of service industry is mainly affected by the agglomeration level of service indus- try, the internal structure of service industry, government intervention and urbanization level, but the effect showed some differences in different areas.