青年政治认同与国家稳定的关系:政治参与和政治沟通的作用——基于3323份有效数据的实证分析

The Roles of Political Participation and Political Communication on the Relationship between Youth Groups Political Identity and National Stability

本文采用问卷法对全国10个省份的青年群体进行调查,通过对3323份有效数据的分析,考察了政治沟通在青年群体政治认同与国家稳定关系中的中介作用以及该中介作用机制是否受到政治参与的调节影响。结果发现:政治认同对国家稳定具有显著的正向预测作用;政治沟通在青年群体政治认同对国家稳定的正向预测中具有显著的部分中介作用;而政治沟通的中介作用受到政治参与的调节,青年群体的政治参与显著地调节了"政治认同→政治沟通→国家稳定"这一中介过程的前半路径。本研究验证的有调节的中介效应模型显示,相对于政治参与水平低的青年,政治沟通的中介作用对于政治参与水平高的青年作用更为显著。

To analyze whether political communication mediated the relationship between political identity and national stability,and whether political participation adjusted this mediation effect,the present study used questionnaire survey method and obtained 3323 data from the different regions throughout the country.The results showed that political identity had significantly positive effect on national stability; political communication partially mediated the relationship between political identity and national stability;political participation adjusted the mediated effect of political communication.That is,political participation adjusted the first path of the mediation.The mediated effect was stronger for young subjects with high political participation than for those with low political participation.