山西省民间金融与经济增长的因果关系检验

Causality Test of Informal Finance and Economic Growth in Shanxi Province

在金融发展日益昌盛的情况下,通过对山西省及北京市1999——2015年间金融发展与经济增长的数据研究,分析了山西省民间金融的发展现状。利用Granger因果关系检验,检验了山西省民间金融与经济增长之间的关系,结果显示山西省的民间金融发展不是经济增长的原因,但是山西省的经济增长是民间金融发展的原因。

With the increasing prosperity of financial development,this paper uses the data of Shanxi and Beijing 1999-2015 to analyze the informal finance in Shanxi Proxince.Using Granger causality test to test the relationship between the informal finance and economic growth in Shanxi Proxince.The results show that：the informal financial development of Shanxi province is not the cause of economic growth.At the same time,the economic growth is the cuase of the informal financial development.