苏联国际市场大战略失败探源

A Study of the Causes to the Failure of the Soviet Union's International Market Grand Strategies

苏联解体的原因是学术界讨论的中心议题之一。今年是十月革命100周年,认真总结十月革命以来苏联社会主义建设的经验教训,分析苏联道路遇到的国内外挑战及其应对策略,最终弄清苏联解体的真实原因,对于追求和平崛起的中国大战略具有重要的借鉴意义,也对"一带一路"倡议的开展具有现实指导作用。基于苏联国际市场大战略失败这个问题,以斯大林的"两个平行市场"理论作为研究问题的逻辑出发点,深入分析苏联国际市场建设的理论逻辑与现实挑战以及国际市场建设未能成功的主客观原因,并得出苏联国际市场建设大战略的失败是苏联解体主因之一的结论,进而联系"一带一路"推进的实际,指出中国需要吸取的教训以及正确的前行方略。

The causes to the disintegration of the Soviet Union are among the most discussed and debated issues in the academia. This year marks the 100th anniversary of the October Bolshevik Revolution. A study of the lessons learned from the Soviet socialist experience since 1917 is therefore of significance with an aim to analyze the internal and external challenges encountered by the Soviet Union and its responsive strategies, and to finally understand the true causes to the disintegration of the Soviet Union. This would also offer reference for China＇s current grand strategies of development, and serve as a practical guideline for the ＂Belt and Road＂ initiative. This paper starts with a study of Stalin＇s ＂Two Parallel Markets＂ theory, analyzes the theoretical logics and realistic challenges faced during the construction of the Soviet global market, and examines the objective and subjective causes to the failure of the global market construction. This paper concludes that the failure of the Soviet Union international market construction strategies is one of the main causes to the disintegration of the Soviet Union. With regard to the ＂Belt and Road＂ initiative, it points out that China needs to learn from the Soviet lessons to develop the correct development strategies.