中国地级及以上城市资本存量测度

Measuring on China's urban capital stock at prefecture-level and higher level

运用永续盘存法,对2001-2014年中国287个地级及以上城市的物质资本存量进行了估算。结果显示:总体上我国各城市资本存量增速较快,其中广西、贵州、内蒙古、山西等内陆省份的城市普遍有更高的增长速度;基于省会城市计算的我国东、中、西部地区资本—产出比均呈现上升趋势,整体的资本产出效率在不断下降;西部地区与东部地区的资本—产出比差距不断扩大,资本产出效率劣势明显。与以往研究相比,测算了在全市范围内的资本存量,重点修正了部分地级市因行政区划调整而导致的统计误差,保证了数据前后的一致性和计算结果的准确性。

Using the perpetual inventory method,this essay estimated the material capital stock of 287 prefecture-level cities in China from 2001 to 2014. The results showed that：Firstly,in general,the capital stock growth in China was relatively fast,and cities of the inland provinces（ like Guangxi,Guizhou,Inner Mongolia,Shanxi,etc.） had a higher growth rate. Secondly,the capital-output ratio of China ＇s eastern,central and western regions showed an upward trend based on the data of capital cities,thus the overall efficiency of capital-output was declining. Thirdly,the capital-output ratio gap between the western and eastern regions was widening and the disadvantage of capital-output efficiency was obvious in the western region. Compared with the previous studies, the capital stock was estimated in the whole city,and the statistical error caused by the adjustment of the administrative divisions in some prefecture-level cities was corrected,which ensured the consistency and the accuracy of the calculation results.