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碳排放的预测与减排问题研究

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摘要 文章结合世界银行和NASA官网数据,利用GM(1,1)和自回归积分滑动平均预测模型ARIMA(1,1,1)对碳排放做出预测。由于ARIMA(1,1,1)模型预测更为准确,利用温度和全球温室气体排放量的回归结果以及预测值,经计算每年完成16%的碳减排,在2050年全球平均温度增长1.6℃,达到了联合国设定的目标。
出处 《中国高新科技》 2017年第20期7-9,共3页
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