福建省文化产业供需分析及影响因素实证

An Empirical Analysis on Supply and Demand of Cultural Industry and the Influence Factors in Fujian Province

基于福建省2004-2014年文化产业相关数据,首先利用状态空间模型测度了福建省文化产业供需状态,结果发现当前福建省文化产品供需缺口为正值且有不断增大的趋势,然后利用主成分分析法和回归分析法对福建省文化产业的供给侧因素进行实证检验,结果表明福建省文化产业投资错配加剧了正向供需缺口的扩大,而高层次文化人员数量的增长有利于缩减正向供需缺口,促进文化产业健康持续发展.

In this paper, we make an empirical analysis on supply and demand using state space model based on the relevant data of 2004-2014 years＇ cultural industry in Fujian. The results show the gap between supply and demand of cultural industry is positive and has a trend of increasing. And the empirical results of the supply-side factors show the investment mismatch expands the positive gap between supply and demand, while the number of high level culture personnel is conducive to reducing the positive gap and promote the sustained and healthy development of cultural industry.