基于VEC模型的电影票房收入影响因素研究

Research on the Influencing Factors of Film Box Office Income Based on VEC Model

电影票房收入是衡量电影产业发展程度的一个重要指标,而影响票房收入的因素有很多并且复杂。对前人的研究成果进行综述,通过建立协整及向量误差修正模型(VECM),对2000-2016年的国内电影票房收入的影响因素进行计量分析。最后得出研究结论并给出一些建议,以期对国内电影产业未来的发展和相关政策的制定起到一定的借鉴作用。

Box-office revenue is an important measure of the industry's development, and the factors that affect box-office earnings are numerous and complex. At first, this paper summarized the research achievements of predecessors; secondly, the paper analyzed the influence factors of domestic box-office receipts in 2000-2016 by establishing the co-integration and vector error correction model(VECM). Finally, some suggestions were given in order to make some references to the future development of the domestic film industry and relevant policies.