博弈视角下中国制造业创新绩效评价与提升路径研究

Research on the Evaluation of Innovation Performance of Manufacturing Industry in China and Promotion Path from the Perspective of Game Theory

利用改进的博弈交叉效率模型和博弈交叉Malmquist指数模型,测算了2012-2015年中国28个制造业行业创新绩效。主要结论有:(1)从静态分析结果看,中国制造业创新绩效总体上比较低,且不同制造业行业的创新绩效差异明显。(2)从动态分析结果看,中国制造业创新的Malmquist指数处于负增长状态,而且有进一步下降的趋势。(3)中国制造业创新的Malmquist指数增长乏力的根源在于技术变化指数比较低。(4)不同制造业行业创新的Malmquist指数及其驱动因素差异明显。为此,需从技术进步水平提升、落后产能化解、行业创新资源配置方式优化等方面,进一步提升中国制造业创新绩效。

Using the game cross efficiency model and game cross Malmquist index model improved,we estimate the innovation performance of 28 manufacturing industries in China from 2012-2015.The main results are as follows：（1）From the result of static analysis,manufacturing innovation performance in China is relatively low,the difference about innovation performance in different manufacturing industry is obvious.（2）From the result of dynamic analysis,Malmquist index of manufacturing innovation in China is in a state of negative growth,and is further decreasing.（3）The root that Malmquist index of manufacturing innovation in China is weakly growing is relatively low technical change index.（4）The difference about Malmquist index of manufacturing innovation in different manufacturing industry and its driving factors is obvious.Therefore,we need to enhance the technological progress level,resolve production capacity,and optimize the model of innovation resource allocation in different manufacturing industry,to further enhance the innovation performance of manufacturing industry in China.