人民币加入SDR与我国进出口贸易互动研究

Analysis on the Influence Factors of the Import and Export Trade under the Background of Adding the RMB to the SDR

2015年12月国际货币基金组织批准人民币加入SDR,意味着进一步推动了人民币国际化进程,使得人民币在国际上具备一定的话语权和定价权,推动我国经济更加蓬勃发展。以人民币加入SDR为基准,选取六个指标,分别是美元指数、国外负债、外汇储备、外商直接投资、货币及准货币、进出口商品价格综合指数,运用灰色关联度理论分析我国进出口贸易及其影响因素的关联度,对比分析人民币加入SDR对进出口贸易的影响,人民币加入SDR后影响进出口贸易的主要因素发生了变化,应认真加以应对。

In December 2015,International Monetary Fund proposed the RMB to join SDR. It further promotes the process of internationalization of the RMB,so our country has a certain voice and pricing and economic development is promoted. In this paper,based on the relevant data before and after the RMB to join SDR,the following five indicators are selected: foreign liabilities,foreign exchange reserve,foreign direct investment,currency and quasi currency,and import and export commodity price composite index. The relationship between import and export trade and its influencing factors is analyzed by Grey relational degree theory. Effects of RMB to join SDR on import and export trade are compared and analyzed. Finally,the following conclusion is got: the main factors affecting the import and export trade after the RMB to join SDR have changed. Then the paper puts forward relevant suggestions.