俄罗斯农产品进口演变及中国农产品对俄罗斯出口前景

Evolution of Russia's Agricultural Products Imports and Prospect of China's Agricultural Products Export to Russia

分析了俄罗斯农产品进口及中国农产品对俄罗斯出口现状,并进一步探讨了中国农产品对俄罗斯出口前景。结果表明,俄罗斯自2014年实施农产品"进口禁令"以来,其农产品进口的产品结构和市场结构均出现了一定变化且仍具有较高集中度,主要进口农产品也具有较高或很高的进口市场集中度;近年来,中国对俄罗斯出口比重较高的农产品及在俄罗斯相应类别农产品进口额中所占比重较高的农产品均是中国具有出口竞争优势的农产品,部分类别农产品对俄罗斯出口存在较高贸易关联度和较强出口增长潜力,中国农产品对俄罗斯出口今后总体上仍有较为广阔的增长前景。

The present situations of Russia＇s agricultural products imports and China＇s agricultural products export to Russia were analyzed,and the prospect of China＇s agricultural products export to Russia was further discussed.The results indicated that,since the ＂import prohibition＂ of agricultural products was carried out in Russia in 2014,both of the product structure and market structure of Russia＇s agricultural products imports had changed and always had high concentration,and the main imported agricultural products also had high or very high concentration in imported source market.In recent years,China has export comparative advantage in the categories of agricultural products that have high proportion in China＇s agricultural products export to Russia and Russia＇s agricultural products imports,and some categories of agricultural products from China to Russia have high trade connection and strong export growth potential,which means that China＇s agricultural products export to Russia totally still has a broad growth prospect in the future.