产业结构转换研究述评

A Review on Industrial Structural Transformation

产业结构转换长期受学术界关注,在产业结构转换的现实表现及其理论解释等方面取得了丰硕的研究成果,但依然存在着争论和分歧。本文首先从需求侧和供给侧两个维度归纳了驱动产业结构转换的重要因素,需求侧驱动强调消费结构变化、需求收入弹性和消费外部性等引致的收入效应会驱动产业结构转换,供给侧驱动强调技术进步和资本深化引发的替代效应能够推动产业结构转换。进一步地,本文系统考察了产业结构转换的动态过程和开放经济条件下产业结构转换的国际关联与国际差异,并归纳了产业结构转换的测度方法。本文的研究结论为评价产业结构转换研究的关键问题、寻求理论模型拓展的未来方向、探讨产业结构转换的多重驱动机制、深化工业和服务业之间的互动关系及其对经济增长的影响途径等提供了文献基础。

For a long time,industrial structural transformation has attracted academic attention.Existing researches have mainly examined the reality performance and theoretical explanations of industrial structure transformation,and have achieved rich research results.But there are still arguments and disagreements in this field.Firstly,this paper summarizes and reviews related literature analyzing the impact of demand and supply on industrial structural transformation,demand forces emphasize the income effect caused by consumption structure changes,income elasticity of demand,and consumption externality will drive the transformation of industrial structure,supply forces emphasize the substitution effect caused by technology progress and capital deepening can promote industrial structure transformation.Furthermore,this paper systematically studies the dynamic changes of industrial structural transformation and international relations and differences of industrial structural transformation in an open economy,and draws conclusions of the measure methods of industrial transformation.The conclusions of this paper lay foundations for evaluating the key issues of industrial transformation structure,future researches on seeking perfect theoretical models,discussing multiple driving mechanisms of industrial structure transformation and deepening the interaction between industry and services,as well as its impact on economic growth.