京津冀产业转移的地区经济效应

The Regional Economic Effect of Industry Transfer of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei

产业转移作为京津冀一体化的核心步骤进展缓慢。除企业的转移成本和无形资产的损失外,还在于相关产业将要失去已经形成的经济联系,新替代产业难以弥补地区经济损失导致的经济漏损。采用邓氏灰色关联方法,通过对京津冀产业与地区经济之间的联系,分析转移产业的地区经济效应。结论认为,疏解北京的工业、交通、公共服务等功能对天津和河北有利,不会给北京带来明显的经济漏损,但批发和零售业的转移有可能给北京带来经济漏损,信息服务的经济漏损比预期要小。雄安新区的建设需要通过非经济路径推进,为进一步推动京津冀一体化提供了证据。

Industry transfer is slow as the critical step of integration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. In addition to the migration cost of enterprise and loss of intangible assets,the related industries will lose economic ties has been formed,the new replacement industry will not make up for regional economic losses, thus resulting in economic leakage. By using the method of Deng＇s grey correlation,this paper analyzes the regional economic effect of the transfer industry by analyzing the relations between the industries and the regional economy in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei. The paper conducts that relieving Beijing＇s industrial,transportation and public services functions are beneficial to Tianjin and Hebei,Beijing have no obvious economic leakage; however,the transfer of wholesale and retail is likely to bring economic leakage for Beijing; the economic leakage of information services is smaller than expected. The construction of Xiongan New Area needs to be promoted through the non-economic path. This paper provides the evidence for promoting the integration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.