人口流迁和生产率提升对经济收敛的影响——基于粤桂黔滇市域数据的分析

Influences on economic convergencen by population migrating and productivity improvement: analysis based on the data from Guangdong,Guangxi,Guizhou and Yunnan Provinces

基于经济收敛方程,使用动态空间面板模型,实证考察了粤桂黔滇市域之间经济的收敛性及人口流迁与生产率提升对收敛性的影响。结果显示:整体而言,粤桂黔滇市域间的经济增长于短期、长期均存在着显著的条件收敛,且收敛速度有增大的趋势,人口流迁是重要的影响因素,而来自生产率提升的影响却不显著;就经济发展阶段而言,工业化地区与城市化地区在短期、长期均存在着不随产业结构调整而变化的条件收敛,但是在不同发展阶段人口流迁、生产率提升对收敛性的影响有所不同;就城市规模而言,不同规模的城市群在短期、长期均存在着显著的条件收敛,但是随着城市规模的扩张,收敛速度下降,同时人口流迁、生产率提升对不同城市群经济收敛性的影响各异。

Using panel date from China Family Panel Studies （CFPS） in 2012 and 2014, this essay investigates the wealth effect of housing assets, financial assets, and productive assets on urban household consumption behavior. The results show that on the whole housing assets have no wealth effect on total consumption, and the wealth effect of productive assets is bigger than that of financial assets. For homeowners, housing assets has significant wealth effect on total consumption, and the wealth effect of housing assets is slightly larger than that of fi- nancial assets. Housing assets mainly increase homeowners＇ basic living consumption, while the wealth effect of financial as- sets is mainly affected by risky financial assets both on basic liv- ing consumption and development and enjoyment consumption. Moreover, middle- aged and older households, homeowners with higher income or multiple houses have larger housing wealth effect; Younger homeowners owning one house with complete right have larger financial wealth effect; Households owning one house with incomplete property rights and households with higher income or multiple houses have much stronger consumption re- sponses on productive assets.