区划方法在缺资料地区水文模型参数识别的发展与展望

Development and Prospect of Hydrological Model Parameter Identification for Ungauged Catchment

缺资料地区水文预测一直是水文领域研究的重点和热点问题之一。目前,国内外学者对于缺资料地区水文预测常规方法是区划方法。通过文献梳理对缺资料地区水文预测的研究进展进行了总结分析,并就区划方法的适用性、存在的问题及不确定性这3个方面进行讨论,最后提出关于未来研究中亟待解决的几个问题以及突破口。

Hydrological forecasting in the absence of data is one of the key and hot issues in the field of hydrology. At present, one of the conventional methods of hydrological forecasting at home and abroad is regionalization method. This paper summarizes the research progress of hydrological forecasting in the absence of information area through combing documents, and discusses the applicability of regionalization method, the existing problems and uncertainties. Finally, it puts forward some problems and breakthroughs that need to be solved urgently in the future research.