经济增长如何影响环境质量——基于省际面板数据的实证检验

How does Economic Growth Affect Environmental Quality: Based on the Empirical Examination of Provincial Panel Data

从理论层面分析了经济增长与环境质量的内在作用机理,并运用中国省际面板数据进行实证检验。研究发现:经济增长与污染排放存在显著的倒"U"型关系,当人均实际GDP达到2.65万元时,工业废气的EKC将出现拐点;当综合考虑经济增长、环境规制和产业结构调整等潜在因素的影响后,经济增长的污染减排效果明显增强。为实现新常态下的绿色发展目标,缓解环境污染难题,必须充分发挥环境污染治理手段的综合作用,在始终推进经济增长的同时,加强环境规制,并积极促进产业结构优化升级。

This article analyzes the intrinsic mechanism of the economic growth and environmental quality from the theoretical level, by empirically using the Chinese provincial panel data. Research has found that a significant U-shaped relationship between economic growth and pollution emissions, when real GDP per capita reached 26 500 CNY, industrial waste gas of EKC will reach a turning point. When considering the economic growth, environmental regulation and industrial structure adjustment and other potential factors, the effect of economic growth is obviously enhanced. To realize green development goals under the new normal, alleviate environment pollution problem, we must give full play to the combination of environmental pollution control means. At the same time we should promote economic growth, strengthen environmental regulation, and upgrade the industrial structure actively.