体育产业集聚对区域经济增长影响的实证分析——基于静态和动态面板数据模型

An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Sports Industry Agglomeration on Regional Economic Growth——Based on Static and Dynamic Panel Data Model

基于我国2005—2015年的省级数据,利用静态和动态面板模型实证分析我国体育产业集聚对区域经济增长的影响,期间利用产业比重指数测算了各省市体育产业集聚水平。实证结果表明:1)静态和动态面板模型都支持我国体育产业集聚能够显著促进经济增长的假设,其中,静态模型显示体育产业集聚度每提高一个单位,能够促进经济增长1.85个百分点;2)体育产业集聚与经济增长之间存在显著的非线性关系,呈现倒U型的结构,即适度的体育产业集聚有助于经济增长,但过度的体育产业集聚不利于经济增长;3)我国体育产业集聚对经济增长的影响存在显著的地区差异,中部地区对经济增长的促进作用最强,东部地区次之,西部地区最低。对此也提出了相关的政策建议:1)政府应当在体育产业集聚的不同阶段发挥相应的作用;2)注重体育产业集聚的发展规划,避免体育产业内部结构趋同,尤其是体育产业集聚度较高的东部地区更应当寻求体育产业差异化发展;3)加强体育产业之间的区域合作,促进中、西部地区的体育产业集聚。

Based on the provincial panel data from 2005 to 2015,this paper analyzes the impact of sports industry agglomeration on regional economic growth with static and dynamic panel models,and calculates the level of provincial sports industry agglomeration with industry proportion index. The empirical results show that both static and dynamic panel models support the assumption that China＇s sports industry agglomeration can significantly contribute to economic growth,and the static model shows that GDP will increase 1.85 percentage while sports industry agglomeration increases a unit. There is a significant nonlinear relationship between sports industry agglomeration and economic growth,presenting an inverted U-shaped structure,which means that moderate sports industry agglomeration can promote economic growth,but excessive sports industry agglomeration is not conducive to economic growth. The impact of China＇s sports industry agglomeration on economic growth exist significant regional differences. The central region has the strongest effect on economic growth,followed by the eastern region and the lowest in the western region. This paper also presents some proposals：the government should play a corresponding role in different stages of sports industrial agglomeration development; in order to avoid the convergence of internal structure,government should pay attention to the development planning of sports industry agglomeration,the eastern region should seek differentiation in sports industry development;strengthen the regional cooperation of sports industry,and encourage the sports industry agglomeration in the central and western regions.