江苏城镇化发展质量时空差异分析及新型城镇化发展分类导引

SPATIO-TEMPORAL DIFFERENCE ANALYSIS OF URBANIZATION QUALITY AND CLASSIFIED GUIDELINE OF NEW-TYPE URBANIZATION DEVELOPMENT IN JIANGSU PROVINCE

通过城镇化发展水平和发展效率两方面构建城镇化发展质量评价指标体系;采用熵权法确定指标权重,加权求和法综合评价江苏省城镇化发展质量并分析其城镇化发展水平、发展效率、发展质量的时空差异;依据各地市城镇化发展的不足开展新型城镇化建设分类导引。研究结果表明:近16a来江苏城镇化发展水平、发展效率和发展质量均不断提高,苏州、无锡、南京一直处于领先水平,从各地市城镇化发展水平的提高程度来看,表现出明显的快慢差异,苏南地区作为城镇化发展速度最快的地区,城镇化发展水平迅速提高,苏中地区受区位影响紧跟其后,但是对比城镇化发展效率看,城镇化发展水平与发展效率呈现不同步、不协调问题;经济城镇化和社会城镇化的主导因素是影响城镇化发展水平提高的主要驱动因素,城乡一体化的主导因素是影响城镇化发展效率提高的主要驱动因素;针对性解决影响其城镇化发展质量的主要"短板"问题是未来新型城镇化建设的必然途径。

The evaluation of urbanization quality plays an important role in guiding China ＇s urbanization construction. This paper takes Jiangsu province as the case and provincial cities as the evaluation units,then constructs a comprehensive evaluation system for Jiangsu ＇s urbanization quality in two aspects which are developing level and developing efficiency. Based on the data of 13 provincial cities including 2000,2005,2010,2015,this paper adopts entropy method to calculate the indicators ＇ weights,and uses comprehensive evaluation method to measure the urbanization quality and their subsystems,then analyses the spatio-temporal difference of the evaluation results,finally provides classified guidelines for the cities according to the weaknesses of their urbanization development. Results show that the developing quality, the developing level and the developing efficiency of Jiangsu＇s urbanization increase a lot in the last 16 years,while the regional difference is also obvious and the incoordinate problems are extending. Factors that lead the development of economic and social urbanization are the primary driving factors which affect the urbanization developing level,and the factors that lead the development of urban-rural integration are the primary driving factors which affect the urbanization developing efficiency. Therefore,each city has their own ＂short board＂in development process,figuring out their primary difficulty is necessary.