中国-东盟机电产品贸易的现状及展望

Current Situation and Prospect of the China-ASEAN Mechanical and Electronic Product Trade

基于"一带一路"和"中国制造2025"提出的背景下,通过分析中国-东盟机电产品贸易的现状和产品结构,发现中国与东盟机电产品的贸易在呈现下降的趋势,但速度较缓慢;中国与东盟机电贸易长期处于顺差状态,但可能出现逆差趋势;中国对东盟出口的产品在结构上较为均衡,但高新技术产品质量偏低。展望未来,由于中国与东盟许多国家在自由贸易区的不断深化、基础设施互联互通、物流水平和相关设施的发展、国际环境逐步稳定的趋势下决定了中国与东盟机电产品在未来的贸易将进一步调整与深化。

Based on the background of ＂One Belt And One Road＂ and ＂Made in China 2025＂, this paper analyzes the current situation and product structure of the China-ASEAN mechanical and electronic product trade. The analysis shows that the trade between China and ASEAN electromechanical products is declining, but the declining speed is comparatively slow. The electromechanical trade of China and ASEAN has been in surplus for a long time, but there could be a deficit trend. China＇s exports to ASEAN are more balanced in structure, but the quality of high-tech products is low. Looking into the future, we expect that China and ASEAN trade of mechanical and electrical products will be further adjusted and deepened, because of the free-trade area deepening, infrastructure interconnection, logistics level and related facilities development between China and ASEAN countries, and the gradual stabilization trend of international environment.