中国双边服务贸易成本的测度及影响因素——基于Novy模型的实证研究

Influencing Factors Measurement of China's Bilateral Service Trade Costs Based on Novy Model

借助Novy(2013)相对贸易模型,运用OECD数据库对2000—2014年中国和OECD国家双边服务贸易成本进行测度,并采取面板数据回归分析,探讨双边服务贸易成本的主要影响因素。结果表明:中国和OECD国家服务贸易成本总体上显示出不断下降的态势且下降空间仍然巨大;人均收入差距、服务贸易开放度对双边服务贸易成本的影响较大;城市化率、信息技术水平、距离对双边服务贸易成本也具有一定显著影响。

This paper uses Novy relative trade model （2013） to analyze the cost of China^ bilateral trade, and with the OECD database, we calculate the cost of bilateral trade in China from 2000 to 2014 and the main influencing factors of bilateral trade in service sectors through panel data regression analysis. The results show that the cost of service trade in China and OECD countries is declining continuously and the falling space is still huge. The per capita income gap and the degree of openness of service trade have a great influence on the cost of service trade. The urbanization rate, the level of information development and the distance also have a certain impact on the cost of service trade.