协同学在水资源可持续利用评价中的应用研究

Application of Synergetics in Evaluation of Sustainable Water Resources Utilization

协同学是关于开放、非平衡系统的理论,而水资源系统正是一个开放的、远离平衡态的复杂系统。以湖州市为例,以两年为步长,选取2011年、2013年、2015年水资源开发利用指标、经济社会指标,将协同学应用于湖州市水资源可持续利用评价。研究结果表明,将协同学应用于区域水资源可持续利用评价是可行的,可为区域水资源可持续利用评价以及区域水资源承载能力判别开辟新途径。

Synergetics is about the theory of open and n on-equil ibrium system, and water resources system is an complicated open and non-balance system. Inthe case study of Huzhou City, the water resources development and utilization indicators and economic and social indicators of 2011, 2013 and 2015 were selected with steps of 2 years, synergetics was used inassessment of sustainable utilization of water resources in Huzhou City. The results show that it is feasible to applysynergetics in assessment of local water resources sustainable utilization, which is a new way to evaluate local water resources and local water resources bearing capacity.