“丝绸之路经济带”贸易网络结构实证分析

Empirical Study on Trade Network Structure of “Silk Road Economic Belt”

"一带一路"作为中国首倡、高层推动的国家战略,力图构建一种不同于传统区域合作体系的新的经济发展模式,为沿线国家优势互补、开放发展开启了新的机遇之窗,是国际合作的新平台。本文依托社会网络分析方法,对"一带一路"中的"丝绸之路经济带"贸易网络结构进行搭建与分析,利用面板贸易数据,从网络密度、中心性、核心度等角度分析了该贸易网络结构的演变情况以及中国在整体网络结构中担当的角色和作用。分析结果表明,"一带一路"倡议的推出与推进带动了国际间的贸易关系的建立和加强,各贸易联系日渐紧密,中国在该贸易网络中的影响力不断增大,占据了越来越重要的地位,是"一带一路"贸易网络中的中心国家之一。

The initiative of jointly building the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road,the national strategy proposed by Chinese leaders,attempts to construct a new model of economic development,which not only provides opportunities for countries in Euro-Asia in sharing and further development,but also serves as a new platform for international cooperation.This paper,based on social network analysis method,aims to construct and analyze the whole trade network in this area.By using panel data,from the perspective of web density,centrality,coreness,this paper studies the whole trade network change along the OBOR and the role and function that China plays in it.The results show that the Belt and Road Initiatives brings to build and strengthen the international trade relations,make the trade become more closely linked,increase China influence in the trade of the network,make the China become one of the central countries for the Belt and Road Initiatives in the trade network.