电力骨干通信传输网业务流量分析和预测

Electric power transmission network traffic analysis and prediction

电力骨干通信传输网是电力系统正常运转的重要保障。随着自动化技术及通讯技术的飞速发展,电力骨干通信传输网的业务流量呈现爆炸式增长,出现了网络拥塞等各种问题。通过实地调研和建立相应的数学模型,对电力骨干通信传输网的现行业务流量进行推算,并对新增业务流量进行预测,这对于电力骨干通信传输网网络资源的有效利用,网络资源的合理规划、部署和网络的优化、骨干通信传输网的进一步建设和发展都有着相当重要的意义。本文通过对结合"十三五"通信网规划,对眉山供电公司的通信传输网做了详细的调研,采用输入流量迭代法对这两个典型四级骨干通信网开展断面流量分析和预测。

Power backbone communication transmission network is an important guarantee for the normal operation of power system. With the rapid development of automation and communication technology, the traffic flow of power backbone communication transmission network shows explosive growth, and there are various problems such as network congestion. Through the field research and the establishment of the corresponding mathematical model, the current business traffic of the power backbone communication transmission network is estimated, and the new business traffic is forecasted. This is effective for the efficient use of the network resources of the power backbone communication network and the reasonable planning of the network resources , Deployment and optimization of the network, the backbone of the transmission network to further the construction and development have a very important significance. In this paper, through the combination of ＂ thirteen five＂ communication network planning, Meishan power supply company ＂s communication transmission network to do a detailed investigation, the use of input traffic iteration method for the two typical four level backbone communication network to carry out cross-section flow analysis and prediction.