欧盟-韩国自贸协定对中国与双方间贸易的影响验证与分析

The Verification and Reason Analysis about the Effects of EU—Korea FTA on Bilateral Trade among China and Two Sides

借鉴市场份额和贸易强度指标,从中国视角创建指数,重新量化分析欧盟-韩国自贸协定对它们之间以及与中国之间的双边贸易影响,统计结果显示:欧盟-韩国自贸协定订立后,两者相互出口中规模较大的产品结构相似,双方间经贸并没有得到显著推进;中国对这两个经济体的主要出口产品不仅种类多,而且规模大于欧盟和韩国间的相互出口;同时,两者对中国的出口亦大于它们彼此间的出口。

This paper quantitatively reanalyzes the the effects of EU—Korea FTA on bilateral trade among China and two sides referring to the market share index and the trade intensity index,which aims to testify the related existing research paper's conclusions.The statistical results show :Under the EU-Korea FTA,the structure of the commodities with large scale in the export to each other between EU and Korea is similar.The trade and economy of the two doesn't show remarkable progress.The commidities China exports to EU and Korea not only include more kinds but also show larger scale,comparing the inter-export between EU and Korea.Meanwhile,the export scale of each of the two to China is larger than the inter-export between them.On this basis,the empirical analysis is made in terms of the difference between the real effects and the existing paper's conclusions by choosing related factors.The reasons are further explored corresponding to the statistical and empirical results.Finally,the enlightenment is summarized from the results and reasons above.Suggestions about the continuous development of China's foreign trade in new situations are done.