5月上旬南昌市一次暴雨漏报原因分析

Analysis of Arainstorm in Nanchang in Early May of the Reasons

每年的暴雨突发所造成的经济损失都十分巨大,而对暴雨预报的准确率始终不能有效提高,存在很多次暴雨漏报。本文针对南昌市一次暴雨漏报,从天气实况分析、数值预报检验和这次暴雨过程的可预报性着手,试图分析这次暴雨过程漏报的原因,以便为今后的暴雨预报提供参考。

The economic losses caused by the rainstorm every year are very huge, but the accuracy of rain- storm forecast can nol be effectively improved, and there are many missing reports of rainstorm. According to the ,hissing report of a rainstorm in Nanehang, this paper attempted to analyzed the causes of missing report in the rainstorm process from the weather analysis, the numerical forecast test and the predictability of the rainstorm process, so as to provide reference for the future rainstorm forecast.