旅游业发展对地区经济传导效应分析——以海南省为例

The Conduction Effect on Regional Economy by Tourism Development A Case Study of Hainan Province

旅游业对海南宏观经济影响如何?旅游业是通过怎样的途径影响海南经济增长的?运用VAR模型实证分析海南省旅游业与经济增长之间动态关系。结果表明:海南旅游业与地区经济之间有长期均衡关系;旅游业的发展可以通过影响居民消费、房地产开发、产业结构、地方公共财政进而影响地区经济;旅游业的发展对地区经济产生正向效应。

How does the tourism industry impact the macro-economy of Hainan Which way does the tourism affect the economic growth of Hainan through This paper used the VAR model to examine the relationship between the tourism and the economic growth in Hainan province. The result of model shows that there is long-term equilibrium relationship between the tourism industry and the regional economy by affecting the consumption、real estate、the local industry structure and public finance; the development of tourism industry has positive effect on regional economy in Hainan province.