中国对外直接投资对出口贸易的影响——基于“一带一路”倡议下的实证研究

The Impact of China's Foreign Direct Investment on Export Trade——An Empirical Study Based on "One Belt And One Road" Strategy

在"一带一路"倡议下,为进一步研究中国对外直接投资对出口贸易的影响。依据2006年—2015年"一带一路"沿线42个国家的面板数据,以中国对外直接投资存量为核心变量,引入了目的国GDP、目的国人口总数、两国绝对距离、是否接壤、是否为亚太国家等自变量,运用扩展的贸易引力模型进行实证性分析。结果显示中国对外直接投资对"一带一路"沿线国家出口贸易具有正效应,但是其效应水平和"是否接壤"、"是否为亚太国家"等自变量相比并不显著。

Under the ＂ One Belt and One Road Initiatives＂, the impact of China＇s foreign direct investment on export trade is further studied in this article. Based on the panel data of 42 countries that on the 2006 -2015 ＂one belt and one road＂, using Chinag foreign direct investment stock as the core variables, as well as the introduction of the destination, destination country population, GDP, the absolute distance between the two countries, whether bordering, and whether as Asia - pacific countries as the independent variable, empirical analysis is conducted with the extension of the trade gravity model. Results show that China＇s foreign direct investment has a positive influence on the export trade of countries along the ＂one belt and one road＂, but its level of influence are not significant compared with independent variables such as ＂whether bordering＂, ＂whether for Asia -pacific countries＂.