2017年欧美经济运行现状和未来走势分析

Analysis of the Current Situations of Economies in Euro zone and U.S. and Outlook

当前,全球经济的回升力度在继续增强,美国经济保持了良好的增长态势,但缩表、加息及政策的不确定性使经济面临一定的下行风险;欧元区经济复苏基础稳固,其成员国经济形势依然严重分化。欧美经济波动对我国经济影响重大,应重视欧美经济和政治的不确定性给我国宏观经济带来的不利后果。本文从经济增长、物价波动、失业状况和制造业发展层面对欧美的经济现状进行分析,基于联合国和国际货币基金组织(IMF)的预测结果对经济未来走势进行判断,并针对欧美政策给我国带来的影响提出对策。

At present, the global economic recovery becomes increasingly strong. The American economy has been maintaining a good growth momentum, but reducing balance sheet, raising interest rates and policy uncertainty bring some downside risks; the basis of economy in euro zone is firm enough to support its recovery, but there is still huge difference between the members in economic situations. As the economic fluctuation in euro zone and U.S has a great influence on China＇s economy, we should pay special attention to the economic and political uncertainty in euro zone and the United States so as to avoid the potential adverse consequences to our economy. This paper will analyze the current situations of the economies in euro zone and the United States from several respects, such as economic growth, inflation, unemployment situation and the development of the manufacturing industry. We will deduce the future tendency based on the predicting outcomes of the UN and IMF. Then we will give some suggestions based on the analysis of impact of euro zone and U.S policy on our economy.