“新时代”背景下未来十年世界趋势分析与中国的战略选择

Analysis of the World Development Trend and China's Strategic Choice in New Era

党的十九大报告以高度的历史自觉指明,今天的中国已经处在了"新时代"的历史发展方位上。未来十年事关"两个一百年"目标的第一阶段,这在客观上要求中国必须把握未来发展趋势,从而做到趋利避害。尽管战后的制度设计仍在提供着巨大的稳定性,但是未来十年世界发展的总体趋势表明,世界的不确定性将持续提升。十九大报告向世界宣示了中国的战略选择,它不仅具有极其深刻的世界历史意义,也为充满不确定性的世界注入了一股强大的确定性力量。面对复杂多变的世界,中国既要保持战略定力,预为之谋;同时,更要避免战略冒进,使中华民族伟大复兴的历史进程受挫。

The report of the 19^(th) CCP National Congress pointed out in a highly self-awareness of history that China is on the way of "New Era" development. The coming decade is a matter of the first stage of the "Two Centenary Goals", which objectively requires that China must grasp the development trend so as to achieve the profit and avoid harm. Although the postwar system is still providing great stability, the overall trend of the international development shows that the uncertainty of the world will increase. The report of the 19^(th) CCP National Congress declared China's strategic choice to the world. It not only had extremely profound historical significance, but also injected a powerful certainty for the world full of uncertainty. Facing the complicated and changeable world, China should keep the strategic composure and plan ahead. At the same time, China shouldn't take aggressive strategy so as to avoid frustration on the road to the great rejuvenation of Chinese nation.