经济增长、信贷投放对能源消费的影响研究——基于省级面板数据的实证分析

Research on the Impact of Economic Growth and Credit Availability on Energy Consumption——An Empirical Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data

本文以生产函数的多变量分析为基础,利用固定效应模型和面板误差修正模型,研究了我国东中西部区域2009~2015年的经济增长、信贷投放对能源消费的长短期均衡关系。实证表明:经济增长、信贷投放与能源消费之间存在显著的短期正相关关系;同时,经济增长与信贷投放对能源消费的影响在东中西部地区之间存在显著的差异。政府有关部门应根据各区域的经济发展情况,积极调整信贷政策,提高能源利用效率,加快结构调整,促进产业结构升级。

Based on the multivariate analysis of the production function,this paper studies the long-term impact,which economic growth and credit availability put on energy consumption in the eastern,central and western regions of China from 2009 to 2015 by using the fixed effect model and the panel error correction model.The empirical results show that there is a significant short-term positive correlation between economic growth and energy consumption,while similarly,credit availability.Meanwhile,there are significant differences between the effects of economic growth and credit availability on energy consumption in the eastern,central and western regions.According to the economic development of each region,the relevant departments of the government should actively adjust the credit policy,improve the efficiency of energy use,speed up the structural adjustment and promote the upgrading of industrial structure.