中国地区高技术产业政策评估及影响因素研究

The study of the performance evaluation of regional hi-tech industrial policies and the influencing factors

我国出台了众多产业政策以推动高技术产业发展，但政策执行的效果有待考察，评估产业政策绩效是提高政策的有效性、进一步促进高技术产业发展的关键。文章通过DEA—Malmquist模型测度了高技术产业政策绩效，并运用面板回归和分位数回归模型研究其影响因素。研究发现：我国高技术产业政策绩效整体上呈现时间变迁；市场化进程显著降低高技术产业政策绩效，企业效益、高技术产业发展水平等因素显著提高产业政策绩效；当产业政策绩效处于较低的水平时，应从高技术产业发展水平人手提高政策绩效，而当产业政策绩效已处于较高水平时，政策重点应是提升高技术企业效益和政策执行力。

China has issued many industrial policies to promote the development of hi- tech industry, but the effectiveness of policies implementation is to be seen out, so it＇s the key of the further development to evaluate and improve the performance of industial poli- cies. Based on the DEA- Malmquist model,we could calculate the performance of regional hi -tech industrial policies from 1996 to 2013 ,and established panel regression and quantile regression model to study the influencing factors of the performance of hi -tech in- dustrial policies. As the empirical results show, in the case of hi - tech industry, overall trend of the performance can be divided into different periods; the marketization weaken the performance of industrial policies, when the enterprise benefits and the development of hi -tech Industry improve the performance of industrial policies; When the performance of industrial policies is at lower level, we should make effort to promote the development of total industry for better performance ; Otherwise, we should put more emphasis on the Hi - tech enterprise benefits and the executiveness of policies.