凉山彝族自治州区域经济发展对人口迁移影响的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Impact of Regional Economic Development from the Migration in Liangshan

凉山彝族自治州(凉山州)的人口分布正在因人口迁移而发生着重大改变,凉山州各县市区域经济的发展对其人口迁移有着重要影响。本文基于2010年第六次人口普查数据和相应的统计年鉴数据,选取相关指标,构建回归模型,分析凉山州区域经济发展对迁出人口、迁入人口及净迁移人口的影响。通过实证分析发现凉山州人口迁移与地区生产总值、城乡居民储蓄余额、社会消费品零售总额密切相关。

The population distribution of Liangshan Yi Autonomous Prefecture （ Liangshan for short） is changing greatly due to migration. In turn, the development of regional economy in Liangshan has an important influence on its population migration, too. Based on the data of the sixth census in 2010 and the data from the corresponding statistical yearbook , this paper selects relevant indicators and constructs a regression model to analyze the impact and net migration of Liangshan. The of the regional empirical analys related to regional GDP, the savings balance of urban cial consumer goods. economic development on emigration, immigration is shows that the migration of Liangshan is closely and rural residents and the total retail sales of social consumer goods.