基于多源数据的技术产业化潜力分析方法研究——以基因工程疫苗技术为例

Study on Analysis Method of Technology Industrialization Potential Based on Multi-source Data——A Case Study of Engineering Vaccine Technology

[目的／意义]分析新兴技术的产业化潜力对于产业投资决策、专利前瞻布局、资源优化配置以及技术市场开发具有重要意义。[方法／过程]系统总结现有技术产业化潜力评估方法，在此基础上构建基于多源数据的产业化潜力分析方法，主要包括对政策环境、产业技术和市场行情的分析以及对产业化特征的融合解读，以基因工程疫苗技术为例，对方法的可行性和有效性进行验证。[结果／结论]该方法立足技术领域全景，集成多种数据源，将技术产业化的局部特征融合为整体特征，可通过多维分析结果的相互印证、相互补充获得更具参考价值的产业化潜力分析结果。

[ Purpose/significance] Accurate analysis of the industrialization potential of emerging technology is of great significance for investment decisions, patent layout, resource allocation and market development. [ Method/ process] This paper firstly summarizes the existing evaluation methods of industrialization potential systematically, and then builds a framework of industrialization potential analysis method based on multi-source data, which includes policy environment analysis, industrial technology analysis, market quotation analysis and the fusion interpretation of all. Next, the feasibility and validity of the method are verified by case analysis of the genetic engineering vaccine technology. [ Resuit/conclusion] This method is based on the technical panorama and integrates a variety of data sources, which can make the local characteristics of technology industrialization integrate into the overall characteristics. The multi-dimensional a- nalysis can be mutually confirmed and complement each other to obtain more valuable results of industrialization potential analysis.